Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.017130 4.760108 5.632293 6.739725 8.119720 9.797558 12.014677
2024-12-15 3.033849 3.976950 5.230746 7.054551 9.699669 13.493727 19.533114
2024-12-22 2.419319 3.370209 4.734638 6.898891 10.369938 15.952964 26.135974
2024-12-29 2.050981 2.996278 4.437284 6.889843 11.169019 18.769864 34.448245
2025-01-05 1.764065 2.677315 4.139449 6.777462 11.721255 21.297632 43.384311
2025-01-12 1.592217 2.503224 4.030085 6.942023 12.791803 25.147463 57.138679
2025-01-19 1.406891 2.274489 3.782737 6.791697 13.194334 27.748590 69.466041
2025-01-26 1.337564 2.231532 3.851530 7.255901 15.007365 34.261133 96.941264
2025-02-02 1.258531 2.158070 3.848773 7.570600 16.584169 40.909206 130.552588
2025-02-09 1.194530 2.102161 3.868475 7.935380 18.402259 49.121563 178.123391
2025-02-16 1.116572 2.008503 3.796394 8.075516 19.692211 56.457826 230.926156
2025-02-23 1.052238 1.932926 3.749364 8.264256 21.187354 65.344466 303.782565
2025-03-02 0.964416 1.812957 3.619220 8.303127 22.544649 75.771761 412.435635
2025-03-09 0.907200 1.751715 3.617053 8.703792 25.345072 94.921234 637.539340
2025-03-16 0.821060 1.615261 3.415526 8.503750 26.057905 105.867683 840.686200
2025-03-23 0.757274 1.518605 3.291176 8.492101 27.476973 122.062003 1176.678688
2025-03-30 0.694883 1.416536 3.135888 8.347655 28.346402 136.622523 1588.181369
2025-04-06 0.656576 1.364467 3.097538 8.559212 30.827637 164.597050 2457.482948
2025-04-13 0.605024 1.274720 2.946573 8.365944 31.471652 181.638973 3322.081540
2025-04-20 0.589950 1.270223 3.021939 8.963450 36.218018 238.566491 6335.880901
2025-04-27 0.568155 1.246281 3.039862 9.369670 40.369143 300.852815 11756.312186
2025-05-04 0.549673 1.228173 3.071271 9.841657 45.310744 385.594778 23969.105488
2025-05-11 0.523677 1.187521 3.030051 10.023289 48.772654 465.600348 45497.403077